Black gold shining and comparing QEs – MM #161

We start off with rising oil prices, diving into the reasons for the rise and what we expect for the future. We move on to the highly anticipated ECB decision and tackle it from a different angle. You are welcome to listen, subscribe, provide feedback and pledge support on Patreon. Black gold shining again: Inventories are [...]

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Will Catalonia declare independence on Thursday? Super Thursday for EUR/USD

Another D-Day in the ongoing Catalan crisis. The Catalan parliament will convene on Thursday, October 26th to discuss the next moves. A straightforward declaration of independence is on the cards. The gathering will come one day before the Spanish Senate is expected to approve the measures to suspend the Catalan autonomy. For the euro, the [...]

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Abe is big in Japan – can USD/JPY break out of range?

The election results confirmed the latest polls: Abe is returned to office with a huge, “super majority”. His coalition won 312 seats in the 465-strong lower house. This will allow him to enact his policies in full-swing. He vowed to use the money that will be raised by the rise in the sales tax for […]

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USD/CAD Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

Dollar/CAD ticked higher in a week that did not see too much excitement. The upcoming week features the full reaction to the data: the rate decision. Will Poloz signal a long pause? Here are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. Oil prices slipped a bit lower, but the C$ did not react in [...]

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USD/CAD Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

Dollar/CAD ticked higher in a week that did not see too much excitement. The upcoming week features the full reaction to the data: the rate decision. Will Poloz signal a long pause? Here are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. Oil prices slipped a bit lower, but the C$ did not react in [...]

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AUD/USD Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

The Australian dollar had a turbulent amid key figures and it struggled to rise. Will it break out of range? The inflation report is clearly the big event of the upcoming week. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. The meeting minutes from the RBA did not provide any clarity [...]

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GBP/USD Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

GBP/USD was on the back foot over Brexit and the lack of the BOE’s enthusiasm on raising interest rates. What’s next? The highlight of the upcoming week is the GDP report. Here are the key events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD. Inflation reached 3% y/y in the UK and was not a surprise. Wages [...]

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USD/JPY beginning to move higher – Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

Dollar/yen did not go anywhere fast early in the week but then found its feet. Things could certainly wake up as more important events face markets in the US and Japan’s elections will echo early in the week. USD/JPY fundamental movers Tax reform, no surprises from Fed speakers US politicians got something done: a first step on the [...]

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EUR/USD Forecast Oct. 23-27 2017

EUR/USD was under some pressure on the ongoing crisis in Catalonia. The upcoming week is dominated by the all-important ECB decision. What will be the new size of the QE program? Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD. The Catalan crisis continued weighing on the euro, with [...]

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Will EUR/USD ride the ECB decision?

The euro is stuck in a range, with little influence from political events. The big event is the ECB decision. What can we expect? Here is the outlook from BNP Paribas and Nomura. Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: EUR/USD: Assessing Risk Into Next Week’s ECB – BNPP BNP Paribas FX Strategy Research discusses [...]

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